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For whom

Actuary & actuarial function

Technical provisions, model validation, ORSA input — and a Solvency II regime recalibrating right now. Horizon Scanner monitors EIOPA and the national supervisor continuously and puts the technically relevant changes on your desk.

As of:

Your reality

Your work runs on assumptions that must be right today and may be obsolete tomorrow: yield-curve extrapolation, risk margin, lapse assumptions, mortality. When EIOPA adjusts a methodology or a technical standard appears, you often learn of it only when a colleague happens to stumble on it — and then you have to check retroactively what it would have meant for the last calculation. The Solvency II review is turning that steady load into a mountain.

01Your reality: the function that ties it all together

The actuarial function is anchored in Art. 48 of the Solvency II Directive (2009/138/EC): it coordinates the calculation of technical provisions, ensures the appropriateness of the methodologies, models and assumptions used, assesses data quality, compares best estimates against experience and informs management of the reliability and adequacy of the calculation. On top of that come the opinion on underwriting and reinsurance policy and the contribution to risk management.

That makes you the interface between data, model and supervisor — and thus the function that has to translate every regulatory change to assumptions, curves or reporting duties into numbers first. That translation pressure is exactly why continuous monitoring is not a comfort for actuaries but a tool of the trade.

02What changes in 2026-2027

The Solvency II review (Directive (EU) 2025/2) applies from 30 January 2027 and reaches right into your core calculations. Most visible: the reduction of the risk margin — the cost-of-capital rate falls to 4.75% with a time-dependent, decaying factor added (together roughly −21% on the level). Alongside it, the extrapolation of the risk-free term structure and several risk sub-modules are recalibrated. The accompanying delegated regulation was finalised in late October 2025 [1][2].

In parallel, the EU AI Act moves into your field: risk pricing and assessment in life and health insurance count as a high-risk use (Annex III), with duties on data governance, documentation and human oversight of the model — matters that hang directly off the actuarial function. And IFRS 17 remains the constant pacesetter for the measurement of insurance contracts [3].

03What management wants to see from you

The board needs no methodology debate but the assurance that the numbers hold: that provisions are adequate, assumptions current and regulatory changes demonstrably processed. A complete trail of which EIOPA publication was seen when and carried into which calculation is exactly the evidence the actuarial opinion and the supervisory dialogue rest on.

What changes

Six tasks Horizon Scanner takes off your desk

Concrete mechanics against the five friction points of your week. Each item is live in the tool — not on a roadmap.

  • 01

    Track EIOPA methodology without gaps

    EIOPA technical standards, guidelines and Q&As are monitored continuously and graded by relevance to provisions and capital — no more stumbling on things by chance.

  • 02

    Lead time on the Solvency II review

    The Level 2 and Level 3 measures appear before the 30 Jan 2027 date — you see them early and can prepare assumptions and models instead of catching up.

  • 03

    Place yield and risk-margin changes

    Adjustments to extrapolation, the cost-of-capital rate and correlations are routed to you as soon as they are published — with a pointer to the specific legal act.

  • 04

    AI Act duties in pricing

    Delegated acts and guidelines on the high-risk classification of pricing are monitored and routed to model governance.

  • 05

    Make data quality evidence-ready

    Every source seen and every classification is logged — the basis for the data-quality assessment that Art. 48 requires of you.

  • 06

    ORSA input with an audit trail

    The regulatory look-ahead the ORSA needs comes from one timestamped source — not from a bundle of personal bookmarks.

The numbers your board sees

Translated from compliance language into board language.

  • 30 Jan 2027

    Application date of the Solvency II review — Level 2/3 run-up is already underway.

  • −21%

    approximate reduction in the risk-margin level (cost-of-capital rate 4.75%).

  • 100%

    of EIOPA publications seen, timestamped and assigned — auditable.

  • Annex III

    life/health pricing as a high-risk use under the AI Act.

Questions you will ask

  • Does this replace my technical judgement?

    No. Horizon Scanner makes sure you see every relevant change early and completely — judging what it means for your assumptions and models stays yours. The tool removes the search, not the judgement.

  • Does it also cover IFRS 17 and national specifics?

    Coverage follows the sources: EIOPA and the national supervisor (BaFin in Germany) are monitored, and accounting-related communications can be added as their own source. National interpretation is captured in parallel with the EU level.

  • How fast do I see a new EIOPA methodology?

    The pipeline monitors the sources continuously and grades new publications by relevance; default routing brings them to the actuarial function without manual triage.

  • What if the review still shifts in detail?

    That is exactly what continuous monitoring is built for: if a delegated regulation or standard shifts, you see the change as soon as it is published — with a pointer to the specific legal act.

Let's walk through the reality of your week.

Twenty minutes. Concrete use cases from your group.

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